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Ethereum’s price has been facing significant downward pressure in recent days, with the cryptocurrency even dipping below the $2,000 mark for the first time since December 2023. The crash below $2,000 has done more harm to the already declining bullish sentiment, and the next outlook is whether there will be more incoming declines or whether the leading altcoin is already nearing a bottom.
Notably, an interesting signal of a probable outcome has been revealed through the Ethereum CME Futures chart, where the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) just reached its lowest level on record, surpassing the readings from the 2022 bear market.
Ethereum’s Monthly RSI Drops Below 2022 Levels
Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has highlighted a significant development in Ethereum’s technical indicators, pointing out that the cryptocurrency’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the CME Futures chart has now fallen to its lowest level on record.
This decline has pushed the RSI below the 2022 bear market bottom, a period that saw Ethereum reach multi-year lows before eventually staging a recovery. Severino shared this observation in a detailed technical analysis post on social media platform X, using Ethereum’s Futures monthly candlestick timeframe chart.
The analyst noted that although this drop suggests strong selling momentum, it could also be forming a hidden bullish divergence. This is because the last time Ethereum’s RSI dropped to such extreme lows, it eventually found its footing around $900 and embarked on a price uptrend in the months that followed. This previous performance raises the possibility of Ethereum approaching a bottom, despite its current downward momentum. It is possible that Ethereum has now found a footing around $1,900 and is now gearing up for another uprend in the coming months.
However, Severino remained cautious about the situation, stating that the reading could also mean that the selling pressure is at its strongest and could continue driving Ethereum lower into oversold conditions. Interestingly, he also made it clear that despite the potential for a reversal, he is currently leaning more toward a bearish outlook on Ethereum.
Stochastic Indicator Points To A Deeper Bearish Phase
Beyond the RSI levels, another key indicator that Severino highlighted is Ethereum’s one-month Stochastic oscillator, which has now dropped below the 50 mark. In a previous analysis, he noted that Ethereum’s drop below the 50 mark is characteristic of a bear maket territory. However, it typically does not find a bottom until the Stochastic indicator reaches below 20 and is in extreme oversold conditions.
As shown by the chart below, past trends indicate that when Ethereum’s Stochastic oscillator enters bear market territory, it often takes months before the asset stabilizes and begins a strong recovery.
At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $1,920, having recently reached a low of $1,851 in the past 24 hours.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
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