In line with the broader market trend, the XRP price is down almost -35% since its mid-January peak at $3.40, but according to analyst Dark Defender (@DefendDark), the downward trend may soon reach its conclusion. In his latest technical analysis, he highlights that XRP is finalizing an ABC correction pattern on the daily timeframe, supported by the fact that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching oversold conditions. This could indicate an imminent trend reversal leading to a new bullish wave structure.
The ABC correction is a standard pattern in Elliott Wave Theory, representing a three-wave corrective movement that follows an impulsive rally. Wave A typically initiates the first decline, Wave B sees a temporary rebound, and Wave C marks the final leg down, often establishing a significant bottom. In XRP’s case, Dark Defender’s chart suggests that Wave C is nearing completion, meaning the asset may soon be ready for a new impulsive upward trend.
Where Is The XRP Price Heading Next?
From a technical perspective, XRP is approaching key support levels between $1.88 and $1.91, which could act as a strong foundation for a reversal. If price action confirms a bottom around this area, the next phase could involve a bullish breakout targeting several important resistance levels. The first key resistance sits at $2.44, which would need to be broken to confirm a shift in trend. Above that, the $2.99 zone becomes a critical hurdle before a potential rally toward $5.85, a level aligned with Fibonacci extensions.
Looking at additional indicators, the RSI on the daily timeframe is nearing oversold conditions, a historically reliable signal that suggests selling momentum may soon exhaust itself. A sharp rebound from this area would reinforce the case for a bullish reversal. Furthermore, the chart shows that XRP has been forming a descending wedge pattern, a structure that is commonly associated with breakouts to the upside. A decisive move above the wedge’s resistance trendline could provide the necessary confirmation for the start of a new Elliott Wave cycle.
Dark Defender projects that, once the correction phase is complete, XRP could begin a five-wave impulsive structure targeting a move toward $3.00 in Wave 1, followed by a brief pullback before an extended rally toward $5.00 – $5.85 in Wave 3. Subsequent consolidation in Wave 4 would then set up a final surge toward $8.00 in Wave 5, aligning with the 2.618 Fibonacci level as a potential long-term target.
For traders watching XRP’s price action, the $2.44 and $2.99 resistance levels will be critical. A breakout above these zones would confirm the start of a bullish uptrend, while failure to hold the $1.88 – $1.91 support range could signal further downside risk. With momentum indicators pointing toward exhaustion in selling pressure, a reversal seems increasingly probable, making this an important period for XRP’s market structure.
“XRP is close to finalising the ABC correction pattern in the daily time frame, considering the lowest RSI figures. RSI is close to the oversold area. The expected first wave will be towards $3, and our aim will be between $5 and $8, with Wave 3-5,” Dark Defender concludes.
At press time, XRP traded at $2.21.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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