Avalanche (AVAX) Overextended—Is A Market Shakeup Imminent?

avalanche-(avax)-overextended—is-a-market-shakeup-imminent?
Avalanche

Avalanche (AVAX) is currently at a critical point, with its price alarmingly close to the $20 mark. This perilous situation arises in the middle of a widespread market decline, which has prompted a number of digital assets to reach multi-month lows. Investors are gradually abandoning the market, creating panic selling across the ecosystem, according to analysts.

Technical Indicators Show A Concerning Picture

The recent price movement of AVAX tells a story of eroding support and prolonged weakening. Since February 1, the token has been on a steady decline after failing to maintain momentum following a challenge of the $34.40 resistance level.

Technical analysis indicates that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered oversold territory on daily charts, a condition that typically indicates an imminent reversal. Nevertheless, the Bull Bear Power (BBP) indicator continues to exhibit negative readings, indicating that adverse forces continue to exert a stronghold on the market.

Current conditions may result in an extended correction phase if this bearish dominance continues. The token’s inability to surpass its descending trendline serves to bolster this pessimistic perspective.

AVAX Fear and Greed Index at 35. Source: CFGI

Avalanche Fear Index Reaches Critical Levels

The psychology of the market has undergone a significant shift toward extreme caution. The crypto fear and greed index, a critical indicator of market sentiment, has experienced a precipitous decline to a reading of 35, firmly establishing it in the category of “fear.” This widely-followed index operates on a scale of 0 to 100, with readings below 35 indicative of severe market anxiety.

AVAX is currently trading at $22.14. Chart: TradingView

Digital assets have seen turning points throughout history when faced with such high degrees of fear. Though they can sometimes be appealing starting points for contrarian investors, they can indicate the beginning of more market drops as selling momentum rises.

The latter scenario may be unfolding, as there is little evidence of “buy the dip” activity emerging to sustain AVAX’s price, as current market behaviors suggest.

On-Chain Data Confirms Resistance Overhead

The basic outlook seems to be similarly challenging when looking at on-chain measures. The In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) analysis by IntoTheBlock shows that there is a sizable resistance zone at about $23.60.

At this pricing point, over 128,000 addresses control 3.31 million AVAX coins overall, a significant psychological barrier. Currently resting on unrealized losses, many of these holders could wish to sell their positions as soon as it becomes feasible to break even, therefore creating a “sale wall”.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView

Christian Encila

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that’s not just a metaphor, it’s a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian’s journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling – right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he’s one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian’s all work and no play? Not a chance! When he’s not at his computer, you’ll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian’s got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here’s the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day – and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors – and bosses – he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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