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In a post late Wednesday, independent technician CasiTrades—followed by 20,000 accounts on the platform—warned that “the market is officially out of time” and that XRP’s multi-month coil has compressed to the tipping point.
Why XRP ‘Is Out Of Time’
“After months of tightening, the XRP consolidation has finally reached its apex and something big is coming next,” she wrote. “There are only two paths from here: either the explosive breakout we’ve been waiting for begins now, or we see one final sharp drop to support that ignites the breakout we’ve all been preparing for.”
CasiTrades’ roadmap turns on a single price: $2.25. XRP has probed that level repeatedly since the first week of June but has yet to close above it. “Price continues to struggle with the $2.25 level, a level I’ve talked about continuously,” she noted, arguing that every failed attempt increases the probability of a stop-hunt toward $2.01, $1.90, even $1.55. Those levels, she stressed, are “momentum zones… areas where the market grabs the liquidity it needs to build momentum for wave 3.”
On his daily chart the Relative-Strength Index has been tracing a shallow upward channel while price has moved sideways, a structure the analyst calls a “guide for the end of this squeeze.” The confluence—a volatility funnel on price and a steady grind higher on momentum—mirrors the pattern that preceded XRP’s October 2023 breakout.
Beyond geometry, timing is central to CasiTrades’ argument. “It’s mid-week, Wednesday—this is when sentiment tends to flip,” she wrote, invoking a playbook familiar to short-term traders: a fake-out in the back half of the week that reverses by Friday’s close, leaving late-entrants stranded. The setup, she said, is no longer purely technical. “This is not just technicals lining up, it’s the whole picture aligning. Sentiment, structure, timing, even global headlines.”
By mid-morning in Europe, XRP was quoted at $2.16, roughly three percent below the resistance that defines CasiTrades’ fork-in-the-road. Seven-day realised volatility has fallen to its lowest reading since February, underlining the sense of a market biding its time.
Whether the catalyst comes from a decisive hourly close above $2.25 or from a liquidity sweep into the $1.90s, the analyst’s central claim is unchanged: the consolidation’s lifespan has effectively expired. As she signed off, CasiTrades offered a final exhortation—short, sharp, and consistent with the urgency of his chart: “Do not miss what’s next.”
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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