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As the broader crypto asset market takes a breather following its recent rally beyond a $3 trillion market capitalization, traders are increasingly seeking leverage through options contracts on Bitcoin and Ethereum.
This surge in derivatives activity comes as both BTC and ETH prices consolidate in a narrow trading range, with Bitcoin holding between $94,000 and $95,000 during the same period.
The tight price action is reflected in falling implied volatility (IV) levels. Bitcoin’s 7-day IV dropped from 53% to 38% midweek, while the 30-day IV declined to 43%, down from 50%.
Ethereum’s volatility metrics mirrored the trend, with 7-day and 30-day IV retreating from 74% to 61% and 69% to 63%, respectively. This declining volatility is creating what some analysts describe as a low-cost environment for leverage, prompting traders to take advantage of options pricing dynamics.
Options Traders Favor Bullish Exposure Despite Diverging Sentiment
Dr. Sean Dawson, head of research at Derive.xyz, noted a strong bias toward bullish positioning among options traders on the platform. Dawson said:
A staggering 73% of all BTC options premiums are being used to buy calls, with Ethereum seeing an even higher percentage at 81.8%.
According to Dawson, calls are outpacing puts by a 3:1 ratio for Bitcoin and 4:1 for Ethereum on Derive. However, he cautioned that Derive activity may not fully reflect sentiment across the broader market.
Options data from Deribit, a major crypto derivatives exchange, indicated a more balanced positioning, with normalized delta skew suggesting mixed sentiment.
While Derive users appear to be positioning for upward price movement, other venues reflect more hedged strategies. Still, Dawson maintained that in the absence of any major shocks, BTC and ETH could remain near current levels through the end of May. Dawson wrote:
In terms of price predictions, the outlook for BTC remains stable, but the likelihood of a downside is becoming more bullish. The chance of BTC settling above $110K by May 30 remains at 11%, while the likelihood of BTC dropping below $80K has decreased from 11% to 8%. For ETH, the chance of it settling above $2,300 by May 30 remains at 9%, with the chance of it falling below $1,600 has dropped from 24% to 21% in the last 24 hours.
Bitcoin On-Chain Data Shows Strengthening Fundamentals
In parallel to the derivatives market activity, on-chain indicators suggest strengthening investor confidence. A CryptoQuant analyst known as Yonsei Dent highlighted renewed momentum in Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio.
As Bitcoin’s price recovered to $94,000, the MVRV ratio rose to 2.12, nearing its 365-day moving average of 2.15. According to Dent, this implies that holders are currently sitting on an average unrealized gain of approximately 112%, a level that has historically aligned with strong market positioning.
Dent added that if the 30-day moving average of the MVRV crosses above the 365-day trend in what is known as a “golden cross,” it could act as a confirmation of resuming bullish momentum.
Such patterns have preceded significant rallies in previous cycles. However, Dent also emphasized the importance of continued observation of the MVRV trajectory to evaluate the sustainability of the trend.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.
Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.
Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.
When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)
Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.
In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.
Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”
PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.
Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
