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Bitcoin’s price has rebounded strongly over the past week, recovering from a low of $74,000 earlier this month to now trade above the $95,000 mark.
This upward movement represents a 12% gain in the past seven days, signaling a potential shift in short-term market sentiment following a multi-week period of correction and volatility. Despite this upward trajectory, some underlying metrics suggest that investors remain cautious, especially within the derivatives market.
Bitcoin Negative Funding Rates Return Amid Price Rally
A CryptoQuant analyst known as ShayanBTC has pointed to a developing divergence between price action and funding rates, particularly on perpetual futures contracts. Funding rates serve as a measure of trader sentiment, showing whether long or short positions dominate.
While the price of Bitcoin has climbed, Shayan revealed that recent funding rate behavior suggests that many participants are hedging against potential downside risks or actively reducing exposure at these levels.
The divergence raises questions about whether the current rally will sustain or if a short-term retracement is likely before further continuation. Shayan highlighted that Bitcoin’s funding rates have turned negative again, even as the price pushed toward $95,000.
This dynamic mirrors a trend observed during the prolonged correction between March and October 2024, when funding rates remained negative during intermittent rallies. Negative funding rates typically indicate a dominance of short positions or hedging behavior among traders in the derivatives market.
The analyst suggests that this renewed divergence may reflect a lack of conviction in the rally, with participants preparing for a possible reversal at key resistance levels.
Shayan also noted that the current structure shows similarities to previous periods where the market saw a temporary pullback before resuming upward movement.
In this context, traders might be reducing risk exposure or engaging in distribution strategies by selling into strength. The presence of cautious positioning at a time of rising prices often signals market imbalance that could trigger a short-term correction.
STH-Realized Price and Structural Considerations
Meanwhile, BTC’s Short-Term Holder Realized Price (STH-RP) is also a metric worth assessing Bitcoin’s macro trend. The STH-RP reflects the average cost basis of coins held by recent market participants.
According to on-chain data, sustainable bull markets often maintain price levels above the STH-RP. At present, Bitcoin remains near this threshold, and its ability to hold or break above it could shape near-term momentum.
The analysis from Shayan concludes that while a pullback may occur in the short term, the retracements due to the divergence between rising prices and falling funding rates could strengthen the overall market structure if they result in healthier accumulation and shake out weak hands.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.
Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.
Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.
When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)
Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.
In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.
Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”
PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.
Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
