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After falling from its Macro Range, Aptos (APT) has faced rejection from key levels. Amid its 15% monthly decline, some analysts suggest that APT’s party won’t continue until the $5 resistance is reclaimed.
Aptos Trades In ‘No Man’s Land’
Over the past two weeks, Aptos has seen its price drop to its lowest levels in two years, falling below the $4 mark for the first time. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $5.45-$17 price range since 2023, maintaining the Macro Range lows until the March corrections.
Notably, APT had tested this key level twice before, but closed below its Macro Range for the first time last month. Analyst Rekt Capital noted that the cryptocurrency has historically developed bases around these levels “in the form of downside wicks for three-month periods,” seemingly forming one for the third time with its current downtrend.
Amid the early April recovery, the analyst noted that Aptos was forming a lower timeframe bullish divergence as its Relative Strength Index (RSI) was forming Higher Lows despite the downside deviation. Nonetheless, he warned about “the dangers of a higher timeframe bearish retest for APT.”
Since then, Aptos has “followed through on that bearish retest and rejected from the previous Macro Range Low, treating it as resistance.” After the rejection, APT’s price retraced 26% to the $3.9 support, where it “found some liquidity” and bounced to the $4.2-$4.5 range.
“However, still, the confirmation for a trend reversal isn’t there just yet,” he explained, adding that Aptos must reclaim the Macro Range Lows or it would risk further bleeding.
APT needs to reclaim the $5.44 Range Low level as support to confirm that it is ready to resynchronise with its prior range and try to position itself to challenge for higher prices. Without that confirmation, the risk is a little bit too steep because APT is in the middle of no man’s land.
Until then, “it will be important to watch out for signs of mounting strength in the meantime,” the analyst added.
APT Party Halted?
Similarly, analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems considers that there will be “no party on APT” until it reclaims the $5 resistance, which it has been unable to recover for the past two weeks.
“As long as we stay below the $5 level, unfortunately, it’s just a bearish retest,” he asserted. Meanwhile, another market watcher pointed out that APT has been moving within a falling wedge pattern for the past five months, with a breakout “imminent.”
However, the analyst affirmed that this week’s performance could determine whether the pattern will break out, as it needs to reclaim the $5 resistance and surge above $5.4.
Rekt Capital noted that Aptos has revisited the 35 Relative Strength Index (RSI) during its recent performance, “which has historically been a key region in facilitating basing periods from which price would reverse to the upside over time.”
With APT at this level, the RSI would need to break its multi-week RSI Downtrend to “confirm a sign of emerging strength in price, building out a bottoming-out area here. Until then, it is a waiting game for the most part.”
As of this writing, APT trades at $4.5, a 1% decline in the daily timeframe.
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Rubmar is a writer and translator who has been a crypto enthusiast for the past four years. Her goal as a writer is to create informative, complete, and easily understandable pieces accessible to those entering the crypto space. After learning about cryptocurrencies in 2019, Rubmar became curious about the world of possibilities the industry offered, quickly learning that financial freedom was at the palm of her hand with the developing technology.
From a young age, Rubmar was curious about how languages work, finding special interest in wordplay and the peculiarities of dialects. Her curiosity grew as she became an avid reader in her teenage years. She explored freedom and new words through her favorite books, which shaped her view of the world. Rubmar acquired the necessary skills for in-depth research and analytical thinking at university, where she studied Literature and Linguistics. Her studies have given her a sharp perspective on several topics and allowed her to turn every stone in her investigations.
In 2019, she first dipped her toes in the crypto industry when a friend introduced her to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but it wasn’t until 2020 that she started to dive into the depth of the industry. As Rubmar began to understand the mechanics of the crypto sphere, she saw a new world yet to be explored.
At the beginning of her crypto voyage, she discovered a new system that allowed her to have control over her finances. As a young adult of the 21st century, Rubmar has faced the challenges of the traditional banking system and the restrictions of fiat money.
After the failure of her home country’s economy, the limitations of traditional finances became clear. The bureaucratic, outdated structure made her feel hopeless and powerless amid an aggressive and distorted system created by hyperinflation. However, learning about decentralization and self-custody opened a realm of opportunities. Cryptocurrencies allowed her to experience financial control for the first time and expand her financial education.
Moreover, the peculiar nature of the crypto community sparked Rubmar’s curiosity about the other layers of the industry. As a result, she found a particular interest in discovering the diverse perspectives of investors, market watchers, experts, and developers. Her attempts to better understand the crypto space made her realize the strong links of the community with other industries, enriching her perspective of the sector. As someone who spends most of her day online, Rubmar enjoys finding the points where the crypto world meets with her other passions and hobbies –or her favorite memes.
In her free time, she usually finds joy in different art forms. As a child, she enlisted in every extra-curricular activity in her hometown, including music classes, dancing, jewelry making, and the local chorus. Despite her many attempts to learn different instruments, Rubmar only knows how to play the xylophone, which she played for 7 years in her school’s marching band.
She also has a passion for learning new languages and cultures, having set the goal to learn another six languages – currently attempting to learn Italian and Korean. Scrapbooking, paper crafting, and bookbinding are her biggest interests outside of work, constantly taking classes and attending workshops to learn new techniques. The rest of her free time is spent stressing over football matches and transfer market news or feeding cats –hers or stray.
In summary, Rubmar seeks to present entertaining and educational pieces to be enjoyed by everybody, aiming to report on the latest news and offer a unique perspective while adding a meme or a pun whenever possible.
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