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Ethereum has mirrored Bitcoin’s recent recovery trend, posting a near 10% gain over the past week. The asset had previously experienced a sharp correction, but its latest rally saw prices climb toward the $1,600 mark.
However, the momentum has shown signs of slowing in the past 24 hours, with ETH slipping by around 4% to trade at $1,574 as of the time of writing. This decline comes amid renewed global macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting on-chain activity that may influence short-term market dynamics.
Historical Patterns and External Macro Impact
One of the most recent signals comes from an uptick in Ethereum inflows to derivative exchanges. According to Amr Taha, a contributor to the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, more than 77,000 ETH were transferred to derivative exchanges on April 16—the largest single-day inflow in both March and April.
This spike follows similar inflow events on March 26 and April 3, both of which preceded notable price declines for Ethereum. These inflows suggest a possible rise in hedging activity or short positioning by traders preparing for additional volatility.
Taha’s analysis emphasizes that these inflows are not occurring in isolation. On-chain behavior reveals a pattern of significant ETH movements to derivatives markets followed by price drops. On March 26, an inflow of approximately 65,000 ETH was followed by a sharp decline in price.
A similar scenario played out on April 3, leading to further weakness. The April 16 inflow of 77,000 ETH now raises questions about whether Ethereum may be facing another pullback, especially as it hovers near multi-month lows.
This market behavior is also being influenced by geopolitical tensions. Recent trade actions from China—which include retaliatory tariffs on US agricultural and technological goods—have contributed to a broader risk-off sentiment in financial markets.
Taha notes that such macroeconomic shifts often trigger outflows from volatile assets like cryptocurrencies, as investors seek safer alternatives such as U.S. Treasuries or fiat currencies.
Institutional Strategy and Short-Term Outlook
The consistency of these large-scale inflows to derivatives platforms points toward institutional or large-holder strategies, where ETH is likely being moved to hedge portfolios or open short positions.
While this doesn’t necessarily confirm a downward trend, it does reflect heightened caution among more experienced market participants. The link between macro factors and on-chain behavior highlights how external shocks can influence market sentiment and trading patterns.
Although Ethereum has shown signs of price recovery, the recent spike in derivatives activity and rising geopolitical tension add complexity to its short-term outlook.
Overall, it is considerable to monitor on-chain flows closely, alongside global economic indicators, to better understand where ETH might head next. Continued pressure in derivatives markets could act as a signal of sustained market uncertainty, even as some signs of accumulation emerge.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.
Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.
Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.
When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)
Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.
In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.
Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”
PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.
Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
