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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Supply in Profit is yet to drop under this key level during the current cycle, a sign that could be optimistic for BTC.
Bitcoin Supply in Profit Has Remained Above 70% So Far
In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has talked about the the recent trend in the Supply in Profit for Bitcoin. The “Supply in Profit” is an indicator that keeps track of the percentage of the total BTC supply in circulation that’s being held at a net unrealized profit.
The metric works by looking at the transaction history of each coin in the circulating supply to see what price it was last moved at. The previous transaction of any token is likely to represent the last point at which it changed hands, so the price at that time would denote its current cost basis.
Naturally, if this acquisition level for a given coin is under the latest spot price, then that particular coin would be considered to be holding some net gain. The Supply in Profit adds up all tokens satisfying this condition and determines what part of the supply they make up for.
Another indicator called the Supply in Loss deals with the tokens of the opposite type. This indicator’s value can also be found by subtracting the Supply in Profit from 100, since both of the metrics must add up to 100%.
Now, here is the chart for the Bitcoin Supply in Profit shared by the quant that shows the trend in its value for the last several years:
The value of the metric appears to have been on the rise in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant
As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Supply in Profit hit the 100% mark earlier as the cryptocurrency’s price explored new all-time highs (ATHs). With the drawdown that has occurred during the last few months, however, the indicator has plunged.
In the chart, the quant has highlighted two lines that could prove to be of relevance to the asset. The bottom one (shaded in orange) corresponds to a value of 70%. It would appear that during the last cycle, losing this level meant the start of a bear market for BTC.
So far in the current cycle, Bitcoin is yet to see a drop below it. The closest it came was during last year’s consolidation phase. A level that the asset has dropped under a few times already this cycle is the 80% one, colored in yellow.
The recent correction also took the Supply in Profit below it, but the recovery rally has meant that it’s close to retesting the line again. During both the previous and current cycles, the initial break above the line signaled the start of the bull market for the coin.
Based on the pattern, the analyst has noted, “next target is to push the supply in profit back to 80% to signal strong bullish momentum.”
BTC Price
Bitcoin has retraced some of its recent recovery during the past day as its price has slipped back down to $83,900.
Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.
Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.
In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.
Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.
Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..
Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.
Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.
As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.
Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.
Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.
Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
