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According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post published today, Bitcoin (BTC) may still be undervalued based on several on-chain metrics. Crypto on-chain analyst BorisVest explained that data suggests bullish sentiment remains intact for the leading cryptocurrency.
On-Chain Metrics Suggest Bitcoin Still Undervalued
BorisVest pointed to two key on-chain metrics suggesting that BTC’s current price might be below its fair value. First, the analyst highlighted the decline in Bitcoin’s exchange reserves.
According to recent data, BTC exchange reserves – the amount of BTC available on cryptocurrency exchanges – are currently hovering around 2.43 million BTC, a sharp decline from the 3.40 million BTC on exchanges during the 2021 bull run. The analyst noted:
The Bitcoin exchange reserve data shows that Bitcoin is being withdrawn from exchanges after seven years. The fact that Bitcoin is not readily available for sale suggests it is being held for the long term. A decrease in Bitcoin supply supports a potential price increase.
To explain further, a decline in BTC exchange reserves means fewer coins are available for sale on centralized exchanges. This suggests that investors are holding rather than selling – a signal of growing confidence and potential undervaluation, as supply tightens while demand may rise.
Further, BorisVest pointed to the Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR), which currently stands at 14.3. This suggests that even if BTC falls further, there is enough purchasing power among potential investors to prevent a major price decline.
The analyst explained that the SSR increases as the BTC price rises, indicating reduced purchasing power, which may signal that BTC is overvalued at prevailing market prices. The following chart shows that the SSR has not yet reached its 2021 levels – around 34 – hinting that BTC may be undervalued at its current price.
USDT Dominance Shows Bearish Divergence
Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto shared an interesting observation regarding the declining USDT dominance on the weekly timeframe. The analyst noted that a hidden bearish divergence may be forming, which could indicate an early signal of risk-on sentiment returning to the market.
A bearish divergence on the USDT dominance chart suggests that investors are becoming less defensive, possibly rotating out of stablecoins and back into risk-on assets like BTC and altcoins. It often signals improving market sentiment and a potential bullish phase for crypto.
Meanwhile, the Bitcoin weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) recently broke its prolonged downtrend, sparking hopes for a potential price recovery, with some analysts targeting prices beyond $100,000.
Additionally, exchange net flow data suggests that a BTC rally may be closer than most investors anticipate. At press time, BTC is trading at $85,550, up 0.5% in the last 24 hours.
Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
Ash is a dedicated crypto researcher and blockchain enthusiast with a passion for diving deep into the evolving world of decentralized technologies. With a background in writing and a natural curiosity for how digital assets are shaping the future, he has immersed himself in various sectors of the cryptocurrency space, including decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and liquidity mining. His journey into crypto started with a desire to fully understand the technology behind it, leading him to explore and engage with these systems firsthand.
Ash’s approach to DeFi goes beyond surface-level research as he actively participates in decentralized protocols, testing their functionality to gain a deeper understanding of how they operate. From experimenting with staking mechanisms to exploring liquidity mining strategies, he is hands-on in his exploration, which allows him to provide practical, real-world insights that go far beyond theoretical knowledge. This immersive experience has helped him develop a comprehensive grasp of smart contracts, token governance, and the broader implications of decentralized platforms on the future of finance.
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A key area of his expertise lies in liquidity mining, where he has engaged with various decentralized platforms to understand how liquidity provision contributes to the functionality and security of DeFi ecosystems. Ash’s hands-on involvement has allowed him to analyze the risks, rewards, and broader implications of liquidity pools, giving him a well-rounded perspective on this integral part of DeFi. His understanding of risk management and protocol design allows him to provide insights into how these systems can be navigated effectively, with an emphasis on both opportunity and caution.
When it comes to communicating these complex topics, Ash’s writing is grounded in clarity and depth. He excels at breaking down intricate blockchain concepts into easily digestible information for a wide audience. Whether explaining the workings of decentralized exchanges or outlining the future potential of blockchain technology, Ash ensures that his content is accessible to both those new to the space and experienced participants looking for deeper insights.
Beyond DeFi and NFTs, Ash explores a wide array of emerging blockchain applications. His research spans areas like cross-chain technologies, decentralized governance, and blockchain’s potential to integrate with traditional finance. He is continuously learning and adapting to the latest developments, ensuring that his insights are both timely and relevant. His interest extends to how these technologies are creating new possibilities for decentralization, transparency, and trust in a variety of industries.
Ash’s commitment to engaging with the crypto space firsthand gives him a unique perspective that goes beyond what can be learned from research alone. His practical involvement allows him to stay ahead of the curve, offering readers and enthusiasts a clear and comprehensive understanding of the rapidly evolving world of blockchain. Whether delving into the technical mechanics of DeFi or exploring the cultural impact of NFTs, Ash’s approach is always rooted in curiosity, research, and a desire to make this technology accessible to all.
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