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Amid the market correction, Solana (SOL) has reclaimed the $100 mark after dropping below this crucial support for the first time in over a year. However, some analysts consider a 15% bounce toward a key historical support is necessary to target higher levels.
Is Solana Bull Run Over?
Solana hit a 14-month low on Monday after falling 20% in 24 hours, momentarily trading around the $95 mark for the first time since February 2024. After the correction, SOL bounced around 18% to $112 before retracing toward the $100-$110 price range.
Fueled by the market’s memecoin frenzy, the altcoin was one of the leading cryptocurrencies last year, hitting an all-time high (ATH) of $270 on January 19. Since then, the cryptocurrency has dropped over 63% from the start-of-year highs.
During the Q1 retraces, Solana retested the $120 support zone several times, bouncing from the range, which served as a crucial level during the 2021 and 2024 rallies.
However, several analysts pointed out that the support weakened with each retest, and losing that level could see Solana fall under the $100 mark and risk a 50% drop to the $60 support zone.
After dropping below the key barrier, trader Crypto Bullet highlighted that SOL’s recent price action broke below August 5 lows, which signals that the cryptocurrency’s bull market could be over.
According to the trader, Solana had a “clear 5-wave impulse to the upside that ended in January with TRUMP coin blow-off top,” which suggests a corrective a, b, c zigzag will follow. Based on this, the trader expects “a good mid-term bounce to ~$200 (Lower High)” for wave b and a drop to the $30-$40 price range for wave c.
SOL Needs 15% Jump
Analyst Ted Pillows considers that Solana could see a massive rally after the correction. He explained that SOL bounced from its multi-year ascending support trendline, a key rebound point in Q3 2023.
The last time Solana retested this trendline, it rallied 1,000% toward the $270 mark. If the cryptocurrency holds this level, the analyst considers that SOL could bounce to its ATH in the coming months.
Meanwhile, several analysts noted that recovering the $120 support zone is crucial after the recent price action, as this level could determine the altcoin’s next move again.
Sjuul from AltCryptoGems highlighted that SOL needs to “give a clear bounce and reclaim the $120 level” now that “liquidity is taken.” He asserted that failing to recover this key range would suggest that another drop could be ahead.
Similarly, Ali Martinez pointed out that Solana’s TD Sequential flashes a buy signal on the weekly chart. Per the post, SOL “needs to stay above $95 and break $121 to set the stage for a rally toward $147.”
As of this writing, Solana trades at $105, a 1% decline in the daily timeframe.
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Rubmar is a writer and translator who has been a crypto enthusiast for the past four years. Her goal as a writer is to create informative, complete, and easily understandable pieces accessible to those entering the crypto space. After learning about cryptocurrencies in 2019, Rubmar became curious about the world of possibilities the industry offered, quickly learning that financial freedom was at the palm of her hand with the developing technology.
From a young age, Rubmar was curious about how languages work, finding special interest in wordplay and the peculiarities of dialects. Her curiosity grew as she became an avid reader in her teenage years. She explored freedom and new words through her favorite books, which shaped her view of the world. Rubmar acquired the necessary skills for in-depth research and analytical thinking at university, where she studied Literature and Linguistics. Her studies have given her a sharp perspective on several topics and allowed her to turn every stone in her investigations.
In 2019, she first dipped her toes in the crypto industry when a friend introduced her to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but it wasn’t until 2020 that she started to dive into the depth of the industry. As Rubmar began to understand the mechanics of the crypto sphere, she saw a new world yet to be explored.
At the beginning of her crypto voyage, she discovered a new system that allowed her to have control over her finances. As a young adult of the 21st century, Rubmar has faced the challenges of the traditional banking system and the restrictions of fiat money.
After the failure of her home country’s economy, the limitations of traditional finances became clear. The bureaucratic, outdated structure made her feel hopeless and powerless amid an aggressive and distorted system created by hyperinflation. However, learning about decentralization and self-custody opened a realm of opportunities. Cryptocurrencies allowed her to experience financial control for the first time and expand her financial education.
Moreover, the peculiar nature of the crypto community sparked Rubmar’s curiosity about the other layers of the industry. As a result, she found a particular interest in discovering the diverse perspectives of investors, market watchers, experts, and developers. Her attempts to better understand the crypto space made her realize the strong links of the community with other industries, enriching her perspective of the sector. As someone who spends most of her day online, Rubmar enjoys finding the points where the crypto world meets with her other passions and hobbies –or her favorite memes.
In her free time, she usually finds joy in different art forms. As a child, she enlisted in every extra-curricular activity in her hometown, including music classes, dancing, jewelry making, and the local chorus. Despite her many attempts to learn different instruments, Rubmar only knows how to play the xylophone, which she played for 7 years in her school’s marching band.
She also has a passion for learning new languages and cultures, having set the goal to learn another six languages – currently attempting to learn Italian and Korean. Scrapbooking, paper crafting, and bookbinding are her biggest interests outside of work, constantly taking classes and attending workshops to learn new techniques. The rest of her free time is spent stressing over football matches and transfer market news or feeding cats –hers or stray.
In summary, Rubmar seeks to present entertaining and educational pieces to be enjoyed by everybody, aiming to report on the latest news and offer a unique perspective while adding a meme or a pun whenever possible.
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