Analyst Uncovers Clues—Is Bitcoin’s Historic Bull Cycle Finally Topping Out?

analyst-uncovers-clues—is-bitcoin’s-historic-bull-cycle-finally-topping-out?
Analyst Uncovers Clues—Is Bitcoin’s Historic Bull Cycle Finally Topping Out?

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Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, continues to exhibit uncertain momentum since hitting its all-time high above $109,000 in January 2024.

Since then, the digital asset has experienced diminished bullish activity and steady downward pressure, reflected by its latest price of approximately $82,000, marking a marginal weekly drop of about 0.6%.

Market Implications of Volume Ratio Trends

Amid these market conditions, Crypto Dan, an analyst contributing to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, has provided insights highlighting a notable market trend.

According to Dan, Bitcoin’s trading volume over six to twelve months acts as an indicator of the amount of capital entering the cryptocurrency market during specific market cycles.

Bitcoin price and volume.
Bitcoin price and volume. | Source: CryptoQuant

As highlighted in the chart shared, the metric typically undergoes two distinct phases of decline: the first signals the conclusion of the early bull cycle phase, while the second, lower drop, traditionally marks the peak and subsequent end of the cycle.

The volume ratio trend outlined by Crypto Dan provides insights into investor behavior and market sentiment. Essentially, as this ratio decreases for the second time, historical patterns suggest that investor interest and speculative activity may begin to taper, potentially signaling the culmination of the ongoing bull run.

Investors typically interpret such movements cautiously, as similar past events often preceded significant corrections in the market

Technical Analysts View on Bitcoin

Technical analysts add additional perspectives on Bitcoin’s current status. Analyst RektCapital recently pointed out significant developments in Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a momentum oscillator measuring the speed and magnitude of recent price movements to assess overbought or oversold conditions.

RektCapital highlighted that the Monthly RSI level of 60 previously represented resistance levels during Bitcoin’s dominance peaks in August 2019 and December 2020.

#BTC Dominance

The Monthly RSI 60 (green) represented the peak for Bitcoin Dominance in August 2019 & December 2020

In previous cycles, Monthly RSI 60 was the ceiling

In this cycle, Monthly RSI 60 is the floor$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/G47KSa33ZR

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) April 4, 2025

Notably, this cycle differs, with the Monthly RSI 60 acting as a support floor rather than resistance. This change could suggest ongoing strength and potential resilience in Bitcoin’s price. Meanwhile, Javon Marks, another market analyst, emphasizes a bullish chart pattern currently forming for Bitcoin.

Marks believes these signals indicate an impending significant rally, suggesting that despite current market caution, underlying indicators remain strong, hinting at future bullish momentum. He argues investors ignoring these patterns may soon have to acknowledge a substantial upward price movement.

Just another warning from us that Bitcoin can be getting massively bull soon.

They can ignore the signs all they want but they are there and present and soon, they may have no choice but to face the major results of.

Soon.$BTC pic.twitter.com/68ceDUyfU5

— JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) April 4, 2025

.Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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