Bitcoin’s Price at a Crossroads—Will It Break $86K or Drop to $64K Support?

bitcoin’s-price-at-a-crossroads—will-it-break-$86k-or-drop-to-$64k-support?
Bitcoin’s Price at a Crossroads—Will It Break $86K or Drop to $64K Support?

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Bitcoin’s price appears to be still struggling below key levels. So far, the asset still trades below $82,000 marking a slight uptick of 0.3% in the past day and a roughly 24.3% decrease away from its all-time high (ATH) above $109,000 registered in January.

Amid this price performance, key price levels, particularly those that impact short-term holders (STHs)—investors who have held Bitcoin for less than six months have emerged.

Short-Term Holder Realized Price: A Key Market Indicator

CryptoQuant analyst Yonsei Dent has identified a critical resistance zone between $86K and $90K, where many STHs remain in a loss position. The ability of Bitcoin to break through these levels will determine whether it can regain momentum or continue its downward trend.

Yonsei Dent emphasizes the importance of Realized Price, which represents the average acquisition cost of Bitcoin holders. This metric helps identify support and resistance zones by showing at what price level investors are likely to break even or sell at a loss.

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Currently, Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim the $83,000 resistance, as the weighted average Realized Price for 1W–6M STHs stands at $91.800. This means that many recent buyers are still holding at a loss, creating selling pressure as they attempt to exit at break-even levels.

Additionally, the 3–6M STH Realized Price sits at $86.100, making it a major resistance zone. Since this group holds the largest share of Realized Cap among short-term holders, their trading activity could significantly impact Bitcoin’s price movements.

What This Means for Bitcoin’s Price Action

As Bitcoin trades in the $86,000 to $90,000 range, short-term holders selling at break-even could lead to increased market volatility. If Bitcoin is unable to break past this resistance, it could face renewed downward pressure.

On the downside, Bitcoin’s 6–12M Long-Term Holder (LTH) Realized Price sits at $63.700, with $64,000 being a strong historical support level. Yonsei Dent notes that if buying demand is strong enough to absorb selling pressure, Bitcoin may break out of this range and establish a more bullish trend.

However, if selling from short-term holders intensifies, Bitcoin could retest lower support levels before making any significant recovery. The analyst noted:

As Bitcoin navigates the $86K → $90K range, STHs looking to exit at break-even may increase market turbulence. The key question is whether buying demand will be strong enough to absorb this pressure. Let’s see how the market responds.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving downwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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