Ethereum at Risk? Whale Activity and On-Chain Signals Hint at Further Correction

ethereum-at-risk?-whale-activity-and-on-chain-signals-hint-at-further-correction
Ethereum at Risk? Whale Activity and On-Chain Signals Hint at Further Correction

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Ethereum’s price action has demonstrated a pullback in recent days, reacting to broader market cues, including geopolitical developments. As of the time of writing, the asset is trading at $2,621, marking a 3.2% decline over the last 24 hours.

The drop follows recent reports of a federal court reinstating US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which appear to have triggered a brief wave of risk-off sentiment across the crypto asset space. Despite this short-term weakness, ETH remains up approximately 45% over the past month, supported by momentum built earlier in the quarter.

Large Ethereum Inflows to Binance Spark Caution

This latest pullback coincides with a notable increase in on-chain activity, particularly surrounding Ethereum transfers to exchanges. On May 27, an unusually large transfer of ETH was observed moving to Binance, a trend that has caught the attention of a CryptoQuant analyst monitoring potential profit-taking behavior.

Parallel to this, Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric has reached a key level historically associated with market cooling phases, hinting that broader sentiment may be at a transitional point.

According to CryptoQuant contributor Amr Taha, Ethereum experienced a substantial net inflow of approximately 385,000 ETH to Binance beginning on May 27. This marks one of the largest daily exchange inflows for the asset in recent months.

Ethereum netflow on exchanges
Ethereum netflow on exchanges. | Source: CryptoQuant

Exchange inflows of this magnitude are often interpreted as signals of increased selling intent, particularly when driven by larger holders or institutional entities. The movement of such a high volume of ETH to a centralized exchange may reflect preparations for liquidity provision or anticipated market volatility.

At the same time, Bitcoin’s NUPL, a metric that calculates the difference between unrealized profits and losses relative to market cap, has approached the 0.6 threshold.

Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL).
Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL). | Source: CryptoQuant

Historically, this level has acted as a pivot point where investors begin realizing gains, typically leading to price consolidation or downward pressure. Previous occurrences in early March and late 2024 saw NUPL at similar levels, followed by pullbacks in Bitcoin’s price, which also influenced broader market direction.

Signals Suggest Potential Consolidation Phase

Taken together, these developments present key indicators that market participants are adjusting their positions amid heightened uncertainty. Taha emphasized that while not definitive sell signals, the 385,000 ETH inflow to Binance and the NUPL’s rise to 0.6 are noteworthy.

In prior cycles, similar patterns coincided with phases where investors reduced exposure or rotated assets. As ETH remains near local highs, the potential for short-term correction or sideways movement cannot be dismissed.

Taha concluded that investors may consider monitoring exchange inflows alongside NUPL and other on-chain metrics to better gauge sentiment shifts. Additionally, developments in regulatory or macroeconomic narratives, such as US trade policies or broader equity market behavior, could further influence crypto price dynamics.

While Ethereum continues to demonstrate long-term strength, recent signals point to a phase of caution and strategic reassessment in the near term.

Ethereum (ETH) pice chart on TradingView
ETH price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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