$400K Bitcoin? Analyst Says It’s Not A Dream—It’s ‘Coded’

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Bitcoin has been trading in a tight band lately. Over the last 24 hours it dipped a bit, but it still sits between $108,000 and $110,000. According to market data, that range has held firm even as volatility showed up back in January and April.

Lagging Money Supply Signal

According to analyst Kyle Chassé, Bitcoin’s price tends to follow global M2 money supply with a 90-day lag. He matched daily closes on the Bitstamp exchange against world M2 data shifted three months back. That overlay shows that when global liquidity climbs, Bitcoin often rises after roughly 90 days.

Short-Term Price Moves

Bitcoin first spiked above $109,000 this past January. Then it fell below $75,000 in early April. Since that dip, it’s climbed back toward the $110,000 mark. Based on the lagged money-supply trend, it feels like a pause in a bigger up-and-down cycle rather than the end of a rally.

BTC is currently trading at $108,859. Chart: TradingView

Growing Money Figures

Global M2 stood at about $98 trillion in early 2023. It rose to just over $108 trillion by early 2024. Then growth slowed, and Bitcoin spent some time below $80,000. Lately, M2 is past $111 trillion. Based on those numbers, reports say Bitcoin’s upside could stretch into mid-2025 as liquidity stays strong.

Bitcoin is coded to $400K. pic.twitter.com/6BbogYw1UX

— Kyle Chassé / DD🐸 (@kyle_chasse) May 27, 2025

Bullish Price Targets

Chassé projects Bitcoin may hit $400,000 if global M2 keeps growing. It is “coded“, he says. That means roughly a 270% jump from the current $108,000 level. Based on this model, investors watching liquidity trends might see big gains, though it won’t be smooth.

Other experts point out that money supply isn’t the only driver. Real interest rates, policy shifts and on-chain signals can speed up or slow down moves. If central banks turn hawkish, for example, higher rates could undercut Bitcoin even if M2 ticks up.

What Comes Next

Based on reports from Global Macro Investor, global M2 leads Bitcoin by about 12 weeks. That gives traders a rough timetable. If M2 growth really slows in coming months, Bitcoin may hold its ground or correct first. On the flip side, any fresh liquidity surge could set the stage for new highs.

In the end, the link between money supply and Bitcoin price is a useful guide. It won’t tell you exactly when to buy or sell. But for anyone tracking big-picture trends, knowing that cash growth can flow into crypto after a three-month delay could help time decisions better.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that’s not just a metaphor, it’s a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian’s journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling – right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he’s one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian’s all work and no play? Not a chance! When he’s not at his computer, you’ll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian’s got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here’s the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day – and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors – and bosses – he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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