Binance Bitcoin Outflows and MVRV Ratio Point to Sustained Bullish Setup, Analyst Reveals

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Binance Bitcoin Outflows and MVRV Ratio Point to Sustained Bullish Setup, Analyst Reveals

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Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a slight retreat after reaching an intraday high of $106,704. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $104,686, reflecting a mere 0.4% increase in the last 24 hours. Despite this slight pullback, BTC remains within 3.8% of its all-time high of $109,000 set in January, indicating that bullish momentum is still largely intact.

Amid this price performance, data suggests that BTC’s price behavior remains supported by strategic accumulation patterns rather than short-term speculation. The return of large-scale withdrawals from centralized exchanges like Binance and Kraken may be contributing to this reduced sell-side pressure.

Exchange Outflows and MVRV Ratio Support Accumulation Thesis

Amr Taha, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, highlighted a noteworthy shift in investor behavior. According to Taha’s latest analysis, over 3,090 BTC, valued at approximately $325 million, were withdrawn from Binance in a single day. This followed an earlier 76,000 ETH withdrawal from Binance and a separate 170,000 ETH exit from Kraken.

Binance exchange netflow.
Binance exchange netflow. | Source: CryptoQuant

These movements suggest investors are increasingly transferring assets off exchanges, a behavior typically linked to long-term holding strategies. Taha notes that this trend aligns with broader developments in the industry, such as Circle’s reported IPO plans and acquisition discussions involving Coinbase and Ripple.

Taha’s analysis also emphasizes the importance of the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio in gauging market sentiment. Currently standing at 2.33, the MVRV remains below the 2.75 threshold that has historically triggered major corrections.

Bitcoin MVRV ratio.
Bitcoin MVRV ratio. | Source: CryptoQuant

The last instance of MVRV crossing that level coincided with a prolonged five-month downturn. In contrast, the current level suggests that Bitcoin is not yet in overheated territory, which could give the market room to move higher before heavy profit-taking begins.

Bitcoin Market Structure Points to Reduced Sell Pressure

Taha concludes that the market remains in an accumulation phase, driven by reduced exchange reserves and a neutral MVRV reading. The decline in exchange-held BTC supply lowers the risk of large-scale sell-offs, especially if buyer demand holds steady. This dynamic could help sustain the current uptrend, barring unexpected external shocks.

Moreover, the combination of falling exchange balances and a sub-critical MVRV ratio paints a picture of a market not yet near euphoric excess. Instead, the conditions suggest a cautious optimism among investors, with many choosing to store rather than liquidate their holdings, according to Taha.

The analyst added that the gradual offloading of exchange balances supports the view that institutional and large retail participants are still positioning for future upside. Should the MVRV ratio climb toward the historical trigger point of 2.75, that sentiment may begin to shift, but for now, on-chain indicators suggest that Bitcoin’s rally may still have room to grow.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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