Dogecoin Price Tops Tend To Follow Surges In Retail Futures Activity, Analysis Shows

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Dogecoin (DOGE) is up 48.7% over the past month, as the broader crypto market rallies amid easing concerns over a potential global tariff war. Although the leading memecoin has posted impressive gains recently, analysts believe there may still be room for DOGE to climb before reaching a cycle top.

Analyst Identifies Signal That May Predict Dogecoin Top

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor burakkemeci, DOGE price tops often align with a surge in retail futures trading activity. The analyst shared the following chart illustrating the relationship between DOGE price peaks and periods of heightened high-frequency futures trading by retail investors.

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Source: CryptoQuant

The above chart features red bubbles that mark periods of excessive retail trading activity in the DOGE futures market. These bubbles consistently appear near major price peaks, suggesting the market may be overheating during those phases.

In contrast, green and pink bubbles on the chart represent periods with lower retail participation. These phases typically coincide with more stable or “healthier” market conditions, which could offer better entry points for new investors.

The analyst emphasized that monitoring these red bubbles may help both traders and investors anticipate potential short-term tops in DOGE. Spikes in retail participation often reflect heightened market greed – frequently a precursor to sharp price corrections.

At present, Dogecoin futures activity appears to be in a neutral zone, indicating that the asset may still have room to grow before nearing an overheated state. This view is echoed by crypto analyst Anup Dhungana.

In a recent post on X, Dhungana shared the following weekly DOGE chart showing a breakout from a long-term falling wedge pattern – a bullish technical setup that often precedes price rallies. Based on this breakout, the analyst forecasts that DOGE could reach $1 in the current market cycle.

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DOGE appears to have broken out of a falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart | Source: Anup Dhungana on X

All Eyes On $1 DOGE

The $1 price target has long been a symbolic milestone for Dogecoin enthusiasts. During the 2021 bull run, DOGE reached an all-time high (ATH) of $0.73 but ultimately fell short of the coveted $1 mark.

This time, however, several analysts believe that Dogecoin could finally hit the $1 milestone. Noted crypto analyst Kevin recently pointed to $1.10–$1.25 as a plausible target, based on Fibonacci retracement levels.

However, seasoned market watcher Ali Martinez cautioned that DOGE must first overcome a significant resistance level at $0.36 to sustain its bullish momentum. At press time, DOGE trades at $0.22, up 1% in the past 24 hours.

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DOGE trades at $0.22 on the daily chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com

Ash Tiwari

Ash is a dedicated crypto researcher and blockchain enthusiast with a passion for diving deep into the evolving world of decentralized technologies. With a background in writing and a natural curiosity for how digital assets are shaping the future, he has immersed himself in various sectors of the cryptocurrency space, including decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and liquidity mining. His journey into crypto started with a desire to fully understand the technology behind it, leading him to explore and engage with these systems firsthand.

Ash’s approach to DeFi goes beyond surface-level research as he actively participates in decentralized protocols, testing their functionality to gain a deeper understanding of how they operate. From experimenting with staking mechanisms to exploring liquidity mining strategies, he is hands-on in his exploration, which allows him to provide practical, real-world insights that go far beyond theoretical knowledge. This immersive experience has helped him develop a comprehensive grasp of smart contracts, token governance, and the broader implications of decentralized platforms on the future of finance.

In the NFT space, Ash’s interest is driven by the technology’s potential to reshape ownership and creativity in the digital age. He has explored various NFT projects, gaining insights into how these digital assets function within different ecosystems. His focus is on understanding the evolving relationship between creators and communities, as well as the innovative uses of blockchain technology to establish authenticity and provenance in the digital world. Ash’s research in this area often touches on the intersection of culture, technology, and community-driven projects.

A key area of his expertise lies in liquidity mining, where he has engaged with various decentralized platforms to understand how liquidity provision contributes to the functionality and security of DeFi ecosystems. Ash’s hands-on involvement has allowed him to analyze the risks, rewards, and broader implications of liquidity pools, giving him a well-rounded perspective on this integral part of DeFi. His understanding of risk management and protocol design allows him to provide insights into how these systems can be navigated effectively, with an emphasis on both opportunity and caution.

When it comes to communicating these complex topics, Ash’s writing is grounded in clarity and depth. He excels at breaking down intricate blockchain concepts into easily digestible information for a wide audience. Whether explaining the workings of decentralized exchanges or outlining the future potential of blockchain technology, Ash ensures that his content is accessible to both those new to the space and experienced participants looking for deeper insights.

Beyond DeFi and NFTs, Ash explores a wide array of emerging blockchain applications. His research spans areas like cross-chain technologies, decentralized governance, and blockchain’s potential to integrate with traditional finance. He is continuously learning and adapting to the latest developments, ensuring that his insights are both timely and relevant. His interest extends to how these technologies are creating new possibilities for decentralization, transparency, and trust in a variety of industries.

Ash’s commitment to engaging with the crypto space firsthand gives him a unique perspective that goes beyond what can be learned from research alone. His practical involvement allows him to stay ahead of the curve, offering readers and enthusiasts a clear and comprehensive understanding of the rapidly evolving world of blockchain. Whether delving into the technical mechanics of DeFi or exploring the cultural impact of NFTs, Ash’s approach is always rooted in curiosity, research, and a desire to make this technology accessible to all.

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