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Bitcoin continues to extend its recent recovery, gaining over 15% in the past two weeks to reach a market price of $97,559 at the time of writing. This renewed momentum brings the asset closer to the $100,000 psychological level, marking a potential turning point for investor sentiment in the broader crypto market.
While short-term price action often generates mixed reactions, some market analysts believe that key long-term indicators may be aligning for a larger move ahead. One of those voices is Bitcoin maxi Robert Breedlove, who shared a series of observations on X about indicators that could point toward a sustained bull run.
Miner Costs and Long-Term Holder Behavior Point to Market Strength
Citing analysis from Blockware, Breedlove pointed to the “industry average” miner cost of production — a model that aggregates various operational metrics such as electricity prices and hardware efficiency.
According to this metric, Bitcoin has historically bottomed out when its market price approached or dipped below the average production cost. The model previously aligned with six significant market lows, and Breedlove notes it is flashing a bottom signal once again.
In addition to mining economics, Breedlove referenced long-term holder supply data as another crucial input. This metric tracks the amount of Bitcoin that has remained unmoved on-chain for at least 155 days, a proxy for investor conviction and potential supply constraints.
Over the past 30 days alone, long-term holders have added approximately 150,000 BTC to their balances. Historically, such accumulation during periods of price consolidation or retracement has preceded upward price movements due to the resulting decrease in sell-side pressure.
With Bitcoin trading between $80,000 and $100,000, Breedlove suggests that fewer holders appear willing to exit their positions, potentially reducing available supply at these levels.
Rising Liquidity and Macro Trends Add Fuel to Bullish Outlook on Bitcoin
Another major factor is global fiat liquidity, which Breedlove highlights as a key demand-side component in Bitcoin’s price dynamics. The analyst points to the role of increasing dollar and international currency liquidity, driven by expanding access to Bitcoin through financial instruments like exchange-traded funds (ETFs), public company treasury holdings, and convertible bond offerings.
He argues that greater access to capital and simplified exposure pathways have enhanced Bitcoin’s correlation with broader liquidity trends, increasing the likelihood of upward movement as fiat liquidity rises.
Breedlove concluded by reaffirming that Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain unchanged — fixed supply, 10-minute blocks, and predictable halving events — but external factors such as liquidity, regulation, and institutional adoption continue to influence its price action.
Lastly, and most importantly, is USD liquidity. This effectively represents the “demand” side of the equation. More dollars in the system means more potential bidders.
Bitcoin is highly correlated to fiat liquidity – and that’s becoming increasingly more of the case as ETFs,… pic.twitter.com/i5iE6NzM55
— Robert ₿reedlove (@Breedlove22) May 1, 2025
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.
Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.
Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.
When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)
Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.
In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.
Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”
PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.
Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
