Ethereum Up 12% In a Week, but Derivatives Data Suggests Caution

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Ethereum Up 12% In a Week, but Derivatives Data Suggests Caution

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Ethereum is gradually regaining momentum after a recent correction, now trading above $1,700, reflecting a 12.2% increase over the past week. This recovery has drawn attention from analysts, who seem to be looking into the asset’s movement for signs of sustained strength or renewed volatility.

Despite this short-term rise, ETH remains approximately 63% below its all-time high of $4,878 reached in 2021, highlighting the broader downturn that has characterized the Ethereum market since late 2021.

Ethereum Derivative Exchange Inflows Point to Potential Volatility

Recent on-chain data and exchange flows suggest Ethereum’s price trajectory may be influenced by broader macro factors and strategic trading behavior. Among the latest observations is a notable surge in ETH sent to derivative exchanges, a metric often linked to increased speculative activity or changes in trader positioning.

This trend, coupled with key political developments in the US, has raised new questions about what might be next for Ethereum and the wider crypto market.

According to an analysis by Amr Taha, a contributor on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, Ethereum has recorded unusually large inflows to derivative exchanges in the past 48 hours, with one spike exceeding 80,000 ETH.

Historically, such inflows are seen ahead of periods of increased volatility, as traders shift assets to leverage positions or hedge against expected price movements. While not a definitive predictor of direction, this behavior suggests rising expectations of short-term market activity.

Taha’s analysis notes that the inflow coincided with a recent political statement from US President Donald Trump, who confirmed he has no intention of removing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

This announcement was interpreted by markets as a signal that the Fed will continue to operate independently, easing concerns about political interference in monetary policy.

Taha notes that given how closely crypto markets respond to central bank tone and economic indicators, this development added a layer of macro stability to a market already reacting to technical signals.

BTC Whale Activity and Derivatives Data Suggest Tactical Shifts

While Ethereum-specific data remains the primary focus, Taha also highlighted key movements in Bitcoin markets that may have indirect effects on ETH. On April 23, over $600 million worth of BTC was transferred from whale wallets to exchanges, marking the largest single-day BTC inflow in several weeks.

Whale transfers to exchanges
Whale transfers to exchanges. | Source: CryptoQuant

This came after a breakout in the BTC/GBP pair, which triggered significant short liquidations. According to Taha, the large BTC transfer may reflect a setup where late long entries could face downside risk if selling pressure intensifies.

For Ethereum, this backdrop raises the possibility of a short-term retracement, especially if correlated selling occurs across major digital assets.

A buildup of long positions sitting just below current price levels, paired with newly added exchange supply, introduces liquidity zones that the market may test. As a result, both BTC and ETH could see increased volatility in the near term, driven by stop-loss hunts or profit-taking activity.

Ethereum (ETH) price chart on TradingView
ETH price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

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