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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin price has reclaimed the cost basis of the short-term holders, a level that has historically been psychologically important.
Bitcoin Is Now Back Above The Short-Term Holder Realized Price
In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed the Realized Price of the Bitcoin short-term holders. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the cost basis or acquisition level of the average investor in the BTC sector.
When the spot price of the cryptocurrency is trading above this metric, it means the holders as a whole are sitting on a net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the indicator suggests the dominance of loss in the market.
In the context of the current topic, the Realized Price of only a specific part of the sector is of interest: the short-term holders (STHs). The STHs are made up of the BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days.
This cohort represents one of the two broad divisions of the userbase done on the basis of holding time, with the other group being known as the long-term holders (LTHs).
Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they are to sell them at any point. As such, the LTHs include the resolute hands, while the STHs include the weak ones.
Now, here is a chart that shows how the Realized Price of the Bitcoin STHs has changed during the last few months:
As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin spot price fell below the STH Realized Price earlier in the year, suggesting these investors dipped into a state of net loss.
As mentioned earlier, the STHs include the fickle hands of the market. These investors often panic whenever retests related to their cost basis occur, so the cryptocurrency can feel some kind of reaction when it touches the STH Realized Price.
When this retest occurs from below (that is, when the STHs were in the red prior to the retest), the cohort might react by selling, if the sentiment among them is bearish. This panic exiting at the break-even can provide resistance to the asset. From the chart, it’s visible that Bitcoin witnessed this effect back in early March.
After staying under the line for a couple of months, though, it appears the asset has finally managed to break above the resistance with the latest price rally. If the asset now goes on to see a sustained move in this profit region, it could be a signal that confidence is back among the STHs.
Historically, these holders being bullish has meant that their cost basis has turned into a notable support level for the cryptocurrency.
BTC Price
Following a surge of almost 6% in the last 24 hours, Bitcoin has returned to the $93,600 mark.
Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.
Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.
In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.
Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.
Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..
Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.
Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.
As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.
Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.
Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.
Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
