Short-Term Holders Under Pressure as Bitcoin Slides—Capitulation Coming?

short-term-holders-under-pressure-as-bitcoin-slides—capitulation-coming?
Short-Term Holders Under Pressure as Bitcoin Slides—Capitulation Coming?

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Bitcoin has not been immune to the ongoing global tariff dispute, which has rippled across financial markets and placed pressure on equities and digital assets.

Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has dropped by more than 10%, slipping under $75,000 earlier today—a level last seen in November 2024. The pullback coincides with broader market volatility coming from rising geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

Amid this ongoing price move, a crypto analyst has suggested that the behavior of short-term holders during episodes like this is crucial in assessing the extent of ongoing market corrections.

Short-Term Holders Show Early Signs of Stress

According to CryptoQuant contributor Yonsei Dent, the current price action reveals important insights into investor behavior. Dent’s latest analysis centers on the STH-SOPR (Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio), a metric that measures whether coins moved by recent buyers are being sold at a profit or loss.

A reading below 1.0 indicates that holders are realizing losses, a sign often interpreted as capitulation. While Bitcoin’s price has declined significantly, Dent points out that the STH-SOPR has not yet breached extreme levels seen in past correction events.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio.
Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio. | Source: CryptoQuant

Unlike major capitulation periods in 2024—such as those in May, July, and August—the current SOPR remains near its mean value, indicating that many short-term holders are not yet exiting their positions en masse.

The absence of widespread capitulation raises questions about the potential for further downside. Dent warns that if selling pressure among short-term holders intensifies, the market could experience another wave of losses.

For now, all eyes remain on the $78,000 support level, which may act as a key test for whether Bitcoin can stabilize or if deeper correction lies ahead. Yonsei Dent wrote:

If STHs begin to exit more aggressively, the market could face further downside pressure. In the near term, close attention should be paid to whether the $78,000 support level can hold, as it may serve as a key line in the sand for the current market structure.

Technical Outlook On Bitcoin

Meanwhile, technical analysts’ outlook on BTC is slightly different. According to an analyst known as Merlijn The Trader on X, BTC is currently in what is termed the “green zone” where it is an ideal opportunity for accumulation.

BITCOIN IS IN THE GREEN ZONE.

This is where legends bought in 2015, 2019, and 2020.

Red is for selling.
Green is for buying.

Don’t overthink it. pic.twitter.com/hhSYEpkNNb

— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) April 6, 2025

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving downwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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