Chainlink Monthly Close To Determine LINK’s Fate – Here Are The Levels To Watch

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Amid today’s market correction, Chainlink (LINK) has lost its recent gains, falling back to a crucial support level. An analyst suggests a monthly close above its current range could position the cryptocurrency for a 35% surge.

Chainlink Retest Crucial Price Zone

Chainlink has retraced 9.1% in the past 24 hours to retest the key $14 support zone again. The cryptocurrency surged 15.7% from last Friday’s lows to hit an 18-day high of $16 on Wednesday, momentarily recovering 35% from this month’s low.

However, the recent market correction halted the momentum of most cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling back to the $83,700 mark and Ethereum (ETH) dipping to the $1,860 support zone.

Today, LINK dropped from $15 to $14.07, losing all its Wednesday gains. Previously, analyst Ali Martinez noted that the cryptocurrency has been in an ascending parallel channel since July 2023.

Chainlink has hovered between the pattern’s upper and lower boundary for the last year and a half, surging to the channel’s upper trendline every time it retested the lower zone before dropping back.

Amid its recent price performance, the cryptocurrency is retesting the channel’s lower boundary, suggesting a bounce to the upper range could come if it holds its current price levels.

Meanwhile, Rekt Capital highlighted that the token is testing its multi-month symmetrical triangle pattern, which could determine the cryptocurrency’s next move.

As the analyst explained, Chainlink consolidated inside a “Macro Triangular market structure” for most of 2024 before breaking out of the pattern during the November market rally.

Chainlink
Chainlink’s price falls back into its Macro Triangle. Source: Rekt Capital

During the Q4 2024 breakout, the cryptocurrency hit a two-year high of $30.9 but failed to hold this level in the following weeks. As a result, it has been in a downtrend for the past three months, with LINK’s price falling back into the Macro Triangle.

“The main goal for LINK here is to retest the top of the pattern to secure a successful post-breakout retest,” Rekt Capital detailed, adding, “It’s possible this is a volatile post-breakout retest.”

LINK Needs To Hold This Level

Rekt Capital pointed out that, historically, Chainlink has had downside deviations into this price range: “Back in mid-2021, LINK produced a downside deviation into this price area in the form of multiple Monthly downside wicks.”

Nonetheless, the cryptocurrency is downside deviating “but in the form of actual candle-bodies closes rather than downside wicks” this time.

The analyst also highlighted that, like in 2021, LINK is trading within a historical demand area, at around $13-5 and $15.5, testing this zone as support. Based on this, the cryptocurrency must successfully hold this area to “position itself for upside going forward.”

Moreover, the retest is key for reclaiming the top of its triangular market structure. Breaking and recovering that level would “exact a successful post-breakout retest” and enable the price to target the $19 resistance in the future.

The analyst concluded that if LINK closes the month above the triangle top, it “would position price for a successful retest, despite the downside deviation.”

As of this writing, Chainlink trades at $14.09, a 6.9% drop in the monthly timeframe.

chainlink, link, linkusdt
Chainlink’s performance in the two-week chart. Source: LINKUSDT on TradingView

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Rubmar Garcia

Rubmar is a writer and translator who has been a crypto enthusiast for the past four years. Her goal as a writer is to create informative, complete, and easily understandable pieces accessible to those entering the crypto space. After learning about cryptocurrencies in 2019, Rubmar became curious about the world of possibilities the industry offered, quickly learning that financial freedom was at the palm of her hand with the developing technology.

From a young age, Rubmar was curious about how languages work, finding special interest in wordplay and the peculiarities of dialects. Her curiosity grew as she became an avid reader in her teenage years. She explored freedom and new words through her favorite books, which shaped her view of the world. Rubmar acquired the necessary skills for in-depth research and analytical thinking at university, where she studied Literature and Linguistics. Her studies have given her a sharp perspective on several topics and allowed her to turn every stone in her investigations.

In 2019, she first dipped her toes in the crypto industry when a friend introduced her to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but it wasn’t until 2020 that she started to dive into the depth of the industry. As Rubmar began to understand the mechanics of the crypto sphere, she saw a new world yet to be explored.

At the beginning of her crypto voyage, she discovered a new system that allowed her to have control over her finances. As a young adult of the 21st century, Rubmar has faced the challenges of the traditional banking system and the restrictions of fiat money.

After the failure of her home country’s economy, the limitations of traditional finances became clear. The bureaucratic, outdated structure made her feel hopeless and powerless amid an aggressive and distorted system created by hyperinflation. However, learning about decentralization and self-custody opened a realm of opportunities. Cryptocurrencies allowed her to experience financial control for the first time and expand her financial education.

Moreover, the peculiar nature of the crypto community sparked Rubmar’s curiosity about the other layers of the industry. As a result, she found a particular interest in discovering the diverse perspectives of investors, market watchers, experts, and developers. Her attempts to better understand the crypto space made her realize the strong links of the community with other industries, enriching her perspective of the sector. As someone who spends most of her day online, Rubmar enjoys finding the points where the crypto world meets with her other passions and hobbies ­–or her favorite memes.

In her free time, she usually finds joy in different art forms. As a child, she enlisted in every extra-curricular activity in her hometown, including music classes, dancing, jewelry making, and the local chorus. Despite her many attempts to learn different instruments, Rubmar only knows how to play the xylophone, which she played for 7 years in her school’s marching band.

She also has a passion for learning new languages and cultures, having set the goal to learn another six languages ­– currently attempting to learn Italian and Korean. Scrapbooking, paper crafting, and bookbinding are her biggest interests outside of work, constantly taking classes and attending workshops to learn new techniques. The rest of her free time is spent stressing over football matches and transfer market news or feeding cats –hers or stray.

In summary, Rubmar seeks to present entertaining and educational pieces to be enjoyed by everybody, aiming to report on the latest news and offer a unique perspective while adding a meme or a pun whenever possible.

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