Bitcoin’s Rise Isn’t Random: Analyst Reveals What’s Really Fueling BTC Above $85K

bitcoin’s-rise-isn’t-random:-analyst-reveals-what’s-really-fueling-btc-above-$85k
Bitcoin’s Rise Isn’t Random: Analyst Reveals What’s Really Fueling BTC Above $85K

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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade above the $84,000 mark despite a slight decline in momentum this week. After briefly touching higher levels of nearly $90,000, the asset has seen a 3.3% decrease over the past day, bringing its current price to roughly $84,222.

While price volatility remains a short-term concern, Bitcoin’s broader trend shows signs of consolidation within this range. Amid the movement from BTC’s price, on-chain analysts are offering insights into Bitcoin’s behavior beyond the surface-level price action.

Bitcoin Mean Coin Age and Supply Dynamics in Focus

A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Onchained points to Bitcoin’s Mean Coin Age (MCA) as a crucial metric for understanding current market sentiment. The MCA represents the average age of unspent transaction outputs (UTxOs), which can help reveal the behavior of long-term holders.

Bitcoin mean coin age
Bitcoin mean coin age. | Source: CryptoQuant

According to Onchained, Bitcoin’s recent upward momentum is not a product of short-term speculation or news-driven hype. Rather, it is being influenced by the strategic actions of long-term holders.

These participants typically acquire BTC during market downturns and hold through volatile phases, reducing the available supply and gradually increasing scarcity. This behavior creates conditions in which even moderate increases in demand can lead to stronger price responses due to reduced liquidity in the market.

With Bitcoin’s supply capped at 21 million, the accumulation of coins by long-term holders contributes to a tightening of supply. As these coins become increasingly illiquid, they apply upward pressure on price when demand strengthens.

This mechanism is a core feature of Bitcoin’s market dynamics and is viewed by some analysts as a signal of potential bullish continuation. Onchained wrote:

This illiquidity creates a supply-demand imbalance, contributing to upward pressure on prices when demand increases. As fewer coins are available for trading, the price becomes more sensitive to buy-side pressure, leading to stronger upward price movements.

Monitoring Behavioral Shifts for Market Signals

The analysis also highlights the significance of a sudden drop in MCA, which can indicate long-term holders are beginning to move their coins. Such behavior may signal changing sentiment, profit-taking, or reactions to broader macroeconomic conditions.

According to Onchained, “the movement of these coins from long-term holders can drive short-term volatility and is a signal that market dynamics are changing.”

Onchained emphasized that relying solely on public commentary or high-profile announcements—such as regulatory statements, ETF launches, or tweets from influential figures—may distract from the deeper, data-driven trends that govern Bitcoin’s performance.

Instead, the blockchain itself provides transparent insights into actual investor behavior, offering a clearer view of market conditions. The analyst noted:

The truth lies within the data itself. The blockchain speaks clearly and transparently, and it is through this data that we can understand bitcoin’s true movement. S.N architected Bitcoin to ensure that the financial information we need is open and accessible to all, so we can make informed decisions, not be misled by the stupidity of popular narratives. Let the data guide us, not the whims of outsiders who misunderstand what is truly happening.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving downwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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