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An analytics firm has explained how the data related to the stablecoins could hint at whether the Bitcoin market top is in or not.
Stablecoins Have Seen Their Market Cap Touch New Highs Recently
In a new post on X, the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock has discussed about the trend in the combined stablecoin market cap. “Stablecoins” refer to cryptocurrencies that are pegged to a fiat currency (with USD being the most popular choice).
Generally, investors make use of these assets when they want to avoid the volatility associated with other coins like Bitcoin. Traders who invest into stablecoins, however, usually do so because they plan to venture (back) into the volatile side of the sector.
As such, the supply of these fiat-tied tokens is often considered as the available ‘dry powder’ for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Given this placement of the stables in the sector, their market cap can be worth keeping an eye on.
Here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the stablecoin market cap over the past few years:
As displayed in the above graph, the market cap of the stablecoins has been riding an uptrend recently and exploring new all-time highs (ATHs). Following the latest continuation to the increase, the metric has hit a whopping $219 billion.
To put things into perspective, the market cap of Ethereum (ETH), the second largest asset in the sector, is just under $233 billion. Thus, the stables are less than $14 billion away.
IntoTheBlock has pointed out an interesting pattern related to this indicator. In the chart, it’s visible that the metric’s top last cycle was when it hit $187 billion in April 2022. Evidently, this peak in the market cap of the stables coincided with the start of the bear market.
“Historically, stablecoin supply peaks align with cycle highs,” notes the analytics firm. So far in the current cycle, the indicator has continued to rise, despite the decline in the asset’s price. If the previous trend is anything to go by, this could be an indication that Bitcoin and other coins are yet to enter a bear market.
That said, the latest market conditions haven’t exactly been entirely bullish. The most positive scenario occurs whenever both BTC and the stablecoins enjoy an increase in their market caps. In such a period, a net amount of fresh capital inflows are entering into the sector.
At present, though, the stablecoins have been rising while Bitcoin and others have been falling. This could potentially imply a rotation of capital has been occurring, rather than fresh inflows.
During the mid-2021 correction, a similar pattern emerged, but the market was able to find its footing and the second half of the rally took place. It now remains to be seen whether something similar would happen for Bitcoin this time as well, or if the market will go the way it did in 2022.
Bitcoin Price
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $84,700, down over 4% in the last seven days.
Featured image from Dall-E, IntoTheBlock.com, chart from TradingView.com
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.
Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.
In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.
Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.
Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..
Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.
Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.
As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.
Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.
Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.
Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
