Bitcoin’s Mining Difficulty Rises Despite Market Drop—What Does It Mean?

bitcoin’s-mining-difficulty-rises-despite-market-drop—what-does-it-mean?
Bitcoin’s Mining Difficulty Rises Despite Market Drop—What Does It Mean?

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Bitcoin is beginning to show signs of a potential reversal after experiencing a prolonged bearish trend. Although the cryptocurrency remains below $85,000, it has recorded a 2.6% increase, with its price currently at $83,510.

Despite this short-term uptick, Bitcoin is still down by roughly 7.5% over the past week, reflecting a continued downtrend. Regardless of Bitcoin’s price struggles to regain higher levels, CryptoQuant analyst Avocado Onchain has identified a notable trend in BTC mining activity.

Rising Bitcoin  Mining Difficulty and Miner Holding Strategy

According to Avocado Onchain, Bitcoin’s mining difficulty has remained in an uptrend even as the market undergoes a 30% correction. The analyst wrote:

During the extended correction phase that began in March 2024, mining difficulty saw a temporary drop, leading some to speculate that it resembled the end of the 2021 cycle. However, contrary to those predictions, Bitcoin’s price rebounded sharply. Although it is now undergoing a ~30% correction, mining difficulty continues to climb.

Historically, a decline in mining difficulty has been associated with miners shutting down less efficient rigs, which often signals broader market distress.

Bitcoin mining difficulty.
Bitcoin mining difficulty. | Source: CryptoQuant

However, current data, according to Avocado suggests that miners have not yet begun offloading large amounts of Bitcoin, indicating that they are holding onto their reserves rather than selling at lower prices.

Another key metric Avocado pointed out is the Miner Position Index (MPI). Previously, this metric showed signs of selling pressure in November 2024. However, this activity did not lead to a significant market downturn, according to the CryptoQuant analyst.

Instead, miners appear to be maintaining a holding strategy, suggesting that the broader uptrend remains intact. If Bitcoin’s correction extends further, a decrease in mining difficulty could be a potential indicator of miner capitulation, but as of now, the network remains resilient.

Stablecoin Transfers and Market Absorption

In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant analyst Mignolet has observed a surge in the total amount of stablecoin transfers, a trend that typically does not occur while Bitcoin’s price is declining but rather after a drop, during a market consolidation phase.

This suggests that large-scale investors could be absorbing market shocks through over-the-counter (OTC) transactions, reducing the impact of further price declines.

Stablecoin transfers and active addresses
Stablecoin transfers and active addresses. | Source: CryptoQuant

Mignolet also noted that increased activity in stablecoin transfers, combined with a rise in active Bitcoin addresses, signals heightened network participation. This pattern has historically indicated spot accumulation, which can serve as a precursor to price recoveries.

If accumulation continues while sentiment remains low, the market could enter a phase where a short squeeze forces a rapid upward price movement in Bitcoin.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving downwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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