Over the last week, Ethereum (ETH) has dropped 13.8%, currently trading at the critical $2,000 support level. While the digital asset’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has hit its lowest point in three years, analysts warn that further downside may still be ahead.
Ethereum RSI At Lowest Levels In Years
US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico took effect earlier today, fueling fears of an impending recession. According to the latest data from Kalshi, there is a 39% probability of a recession occurring in 2025.
The broader crypto market has also felt the pressure from these tariffs, with the total market cap declining from $3.7 trillion on December 14 to $2.8 trillion at the time of writing. Major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and ETH have been significantly impacted, down 7.1% and 8.9% in the past 24 hours, respectively.
Unlike BTC, which saw a remarkable 2024 with multiple new all-time highs (ATH), ETH has struggled since reaching its peak of $4,878 in November 2021. Over the past year, ETH has declined by 41.6%, while BTC has risen by 26%.
The latest crypto market pullback has added to ETH’s challenges, bringing it down to the psychologically significant $2,000 level. Crypto analyst Jesse Olson noted that intense selling pressure has pushed ETH’s weekly RSI to 35.87, its lowest reading since May 2022.
Olson further explained that the bottom was not reached in May 2022, as ETH subsequently dropped another 60%. If ETH follows a similar trajectory, it could fall another 60% from $2,000, potentially reaching around $800.
Fellow crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader echoed Olson’s concerns, stating that Ethereum is currently “playing the waiting game.” The analyst emphasized that ETH is approaching a crucial “make or break” level on the RSI.
Analyst Urges Not To Panic Sell ETH
Despite heightened macroeconomic uncertainty due to Trump’s trade tariffs, some analysts remain confident that ETH is nearing its bottom and could soon resume its uptrend. In an X post, one crypto analyst remarked:
Ethereum is currently retesting the 21-Day EMA on the 3-Month chart. ETH has NEVER closed a candle beneath this level. We are either about to witness history or we are very close to bottoming. Be VERY CAREFUL Panic Selling!
There might still be hope for the second-largest cryptocurrency, as recent analysis found that ETH exchange balances have dropped to a 9-year low, strengthening the digital asset’s supply scarcity narrative. At press time, ETH trades at $2,126, down 8.9% in the past 24 hours.
Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
Ash Tiwari
Ash is a dedicated crypto researcher and blockchain enthusiast with a passion for diving deep into the evolving world of decentralized technologies. With a background in writing and a natural curiosity for how digital assets are shaping the future, he has immersed himself in various sectors of the cryptocurrency space, including decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and liquidity mining. His journey into crypto started with a desire to fully understand the technology behind it, leading him to explore and engage with these systems firsthand.
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Ash’s commitment to engaging with the crypto space firsthand gives him a unique perspective that goes beyond what can be learned from research alone. His practical involvement allows him to stay ahead of the curve, offering readers and enthusiasts a clear and comprehensive understanding of the rapidly evolving world of blockchain. Whether delving into the technical mechanics of DeFi or exploring the cultural impact of NFTs, Ash’s approach is always rooted in curiosity, research, and a desire to make this technology accessible to all.
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