The market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock has revealed where the next major obstacle for Bitcoin could lie, according to on-chain data.
Bitcoin Has A Major Supply Wall Between $95,400 & $98,200
In a new post on X, IntoTheBlock has discussed about how the various BTC price ranges are looking in terms of on-chain resistance and support. In on-chain analysis, the strength of any support or resistance range is assumed to lie in the amount of supply that was last purchased/transacted by investors at price levels falling in said range.
That is, strong support/resistance ranges carry the cost basis of a large number of addresses. The reason behind this is that to any investor, their break-even level is naturally a special level, so when retests of it happen, they are probable to make some kind of move.
Holders who were in loss prior to such a retest may be tempted to sell, as they would at least recoup all of their investment. Investors who were in profit, however, may decide to buy more instead, as they could believe the same acquisition level would end up paying off again in the future.
Naturally, just a few investors showing this buying/selling would have no effects on the cryptocurrency’s price, so the range would need to contain the cost basis of a significant amount of addresses if it has to act as a resistance or support boundary.
Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm, that shows how the Bitcoin supply is distributed at ranges around the current spot price:
In the graph, the size of the dot correlates to the amount of coins that the investors purchased inside the corresponding range. It would appear that one range ahead of the current price particularly stands out in terms of the size of its dot: $95,400 to $98,200.
At these price levels, around 2.29 million addresses purchased a total of 1.66 million tokens. Given that the range is above the asset’s price at the moment, all of these investors would be in the red.
Bitcoin has recently gone through a rollercoaster where it plunged below $80,000 and recovered back above $90,000, all within the matter of a few days. As such, these underwater holders may be especially eager for the price to get back to their cost basis.
“Fearful sentiment can trigger these holders to sell at break-even prices, thus providing resistance,” explains IntoTheBlock. It now remains to be seen whether demand would be enough to outpace these potential sellers, if BTC can rally far enough to retest this range.
BTC Price
Bitcoin neared the $95,000 level during the latest price rally, but it seems its price has since faced a retrace as it’s now back to $90,700.
Featured image from Dall-E, IntoTheBlock.com, chart from TradingView.com
Keshav Verma
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.
Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.
In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.
Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.
Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..
Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.
Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.
As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.
Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.
Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.
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