This week’s market correction has seen Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, retest some of its key support levels. As the price starts to recover from the recent lows, some analysts consider the weekend might bring some bullish relief for investors.
Bitcoin Recovers From $78,000 Drop
Bitcoin has experienced significant selling pressure over the last week, fueling doubts about a potential market top. The flagship crypto has dropped 21% from last week’s high of $99,000, dipping below the $80,000 level for the first time since November.
The correction also saw BTC drop nearly 30% from its January all-time high (ATH) and trade below its post-US election price range. A week after the market bleeding started, Bitcoin hit a new three-month low, retesting the $78,000 support on Friday morning.
Various market watchers noted that BTC’s most recent decline reached and partially filled its November 2024 CME Gap between $78,000 and $80,700. Rekt Capital pointed out that Bitcoin is experiencing a “strong rebound against the partially filled CME Gap and is doing so on above-average seller volume.”
The flagship crypto has surged around 7% from today’s lows, hovering between the $83,000 and $84,000 support zone for the past few hours.
To the analyst, the CME Gap support and sell-side volume will be two key indicators to pay attention to over the weekend as constant, uninterrupted BTC sell-side pressure is unsustainable, and seller exhaustion potentially accelerates in the next few days.
Bitcoin is finally starting to experience above-average seller volume. There’s still scope for more seller volume to come in, but the chances of Seller Exhaustion occurring are increasing. And Seller Exhaustion tends to precede price reversals.
Is A Weekend Rebound Coming?
Crypto analyst Jelle highlighted that Bitcoin has done “three drives in deeply oversold territory” this week and is retesting the local lows before today’s drop, which suggests that a “weekend relief seems likely.”
The analyst stated that reclaiming the $84,500 support is key for BTC’s recovery as “the past two retests ended up resulting in new lows.”
Nonetheless, he noted that today’s rebound seems different due to BTC “touching the 200-ema cluster” for the first time this week and breaking above it. To Jelle, this could signal an “interesting weekend,” with the new CME Gap at $93,000 open.
Rekt Capital pointed out that Bitcoin “has filled every CME Gap that has formed since mid-March 2024” and that only the newly formed CME Gap between $92,800 and $94,000 remains open after this retrace. If BTC continues this pattern, the price could see a rebound to fill the new gap soon.
The analyst has outlined two potential scenarios for BTC’s current “downside deviation.” According to the post, Bitcoin’s price could revisit $93,500 by the end of the week if the deviation “is to end up as a downside wick.”
Meanwhile, if the deviation is “to end up as the Post-Halving deviation featuring Weekly Candle Closes below the Re-Accumulation range,” BTC’s price could revisit the $93,500 level in the next two to three weeks as “part of a post-breakdown relief rally.”
As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $85,120, a 0.5% increase in the daily timeframe.
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Rubmar Garcia
Rubmar is a writer and translator who has been a crypto enthusiast for the past four years. Her goal as a writer is to create informative, complete, and easily understandable pieces accessible to those entering the crypto space. After learning about cryptocurrencies in 2019, Rubmar became curious about the world of possibilities the industry offered, quickly learning that financial freedom was at the palm of her hand with the developing technology.
From a young age, Rubmar was curious about how languages work, finding special interest in wordplay and the peculiarities of dialects. Her curiosity grew as she became an avid reader in her teenage years. She explored freedom and new words through her favorite books, which shaped her view of the world. Rubmar acquired the necessary skills for in-depth research and analytical thinking at university, where she studied Literature and Linguistics. Her studies have given her a sharp perspective on several topics and allowed her to turn every stone in her investigations.
In 2019, she first dipped her toes in the crypto industry when a friend introduced her to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but it wasn’t until 2020 that she started to dive into the depth of the industry. As Rubmar began to understand the mechanics of the crypto sphere, she saw a new world yet to be explored.
At the beginning of her crypto voyage, she discovered a new system that allowed her to have control over her finances. As a young adult of the 21st century, Rubmar has faced the challenges of the traditional banking system and the restrictions of fiat money.
After the failure of her home country’s economy, the limitations of traditional finances became clear. The bureaucratic, outdated structure made her feel hopeless and powerless amid an aggressive and distorted system created by hyperinflation. However, learning about decentralization and self-custody opened a realm of opportunities. Cryptocurrencies allowed her to experience financial control for the first time and expand her financial education.
Moreover, the peculiar nature of the crypto community sparked Rubmar’s curiosity about the other layers of the industry. As a result, she found a particular interest in discovering the diverse perspectives of investors, market watchers, experts, and developers. Her attempts to better understand the crypto space made her realize the strong links of the community with other industries, enriching her perspective of the sector. As someone who spends most of her day online, Rubmar enjoys finding the points where the crypto world meets with her other passions and hobbies –or her favorite memes.
In her free time, she usually finds joy in different art forms. As a child, she enlisted in every extra-curricular activity in her hometown, including music classes, dancing, jewelry making, and the local chorus. Despite her many attempts to learn different instruments, Rubmar only knows how to play the xylophone, which she played for 7 years in her school’s marching band.
She also has a passion for learning new languages and cultures, having set the goal to learn another six languages – currently attempting to learn Italian and Korean. Scrapbooking, paper crafting, and bookbinding are her biggest interests outside of work, constantly taking classes and attending workshops to learn new techniques. The rest of her free time is spent stressing over football matches and transfer market news or feeding cats –hers or stray.
In summary, Rubmar seeks to present entertaining and educational pieces to be enjoyed by everybody, aiming to report on the latest news and offer a unique perspective while adding a meme or a pun whenever possible.
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